Manufacturing Output Lifts Production

The quarterly analysis of the index of production published by the ONS shows that production increased by 0.2% between Q2 and Q3 2014. The growth was mainly due to manufacturing which increased by 0.4%.

The annual comparison estimates that total production output increased by 1.5% between September 2013 and September 2014. Manufacturing was the only sector to record a rise with an increase of 2.9%.

On a month by month basis total production in September 2014 was said to have increased by 0.6% when compared with August 2014. Three of the main sectors reported growth with mining and quarrying being the main contributor with growth of 3.8%.

Manufacturing output increased by 0.4% between August and September 2014 and the main sub-sectors responsible were transport equipment, computer, electronic and optical products and chemicals and chemical products.

Trade Deficit Narrows To £1bn

Britain's trade deficit on goods and services was estimated to have been £1bn in December 2013 according to the ONS. This compares with a deficit of £3.6bn in November 2013. There was a deficit on goods of £7.7bn but a surplus of £6.7bn on services.

In terms of imports and exports, imports fell by 3.8% and exports grew by 2.1%. The biggest exports were in oil, chemicals and aircraft. There were falls in the import of aircraft and ships. Exports increased by 1.9% to £25bn between November and December 2013 while imports have decreased by 4.7% to £32.8bn.

Exports to countries outside the EU have increased 9.3% since July 2013 and imports have decreased by 9.6%.

Manufacturing Down 2.1% Production By 2.4%

The index of production published by the ONS shows that production was down by 2.4% in November 2012 compared with November 2011. Manufacturing was down by 2.1%.

The monthly analysis shows that production actually rose by 0.3% during the month October to November 2012. Large increases in production in mining and quarrying (8.7%) were offset by falls in manufacturing (0.3%) and energy supply (4.1%).

The annual analysis for November 2012 and November 2011 also shows that mining and quarrying fell by 13% within which oil and gas extraction decreased by 17.8% contributing 13.4% to the sector fall. Manufacturing fell 2.1% over the year with food manufacturing, beverages and tobacco contributing a fall of 4.6% and chemicals and chemical products 6.8%. Energy supply increased by 4.4% and water supply and waste management increased by 2.4%.

Producer Output Price Rises In September

The output prices of home sales of manufactured products increased by 2.5% in the year to September 2012 compared with an increase of 2.3% last month according to a statistical bulleting from the ONS. Between August and September the index for output rose by 0.5%, the same as between July and August. Input prices however fell b y 1.2% in the year to September 2012 compared with a fall of 1.1% last month. Input prices also fell between August and September by 0.2% compared with a rise of 1.9% between July and August. The largest changes in output prices were in tobacco and alcohol with an 8.7% increase, petroleum products 3.4%, computer, electrical and optical with 2.9% and other manufactured goods with a 2.8% change. The largest changes in input price were in imported metals with a -12.8% percentage change and home food materials with a change of 10.1%. Fuel increased by 7.4% and crude oil fell by 2.3%. Imported chemicals and imported parts and equipment also fell by 3.6% and 3% respectively.

1% Fall In Production

Production fell by 1% over the year to April 2012 according to figures on the Index of Production from the ONS. Manufacturing fell by 0.3%. Production remained unchanged over the month March to April but manufacturing fell 0.7% over that period.

In more detail, the electricity, gas, steam & air conditioning sector rose by 13.6%, mining & quarrying fell by 5.7% which together with the fall in manufacturing offset the gains slightly. The water and waste management sector was unchanged. The food sector also fell by 5.7% over the year, chemical products fell by 0.9%.

Some sectors grew, electrical equipment grew by 16.5%, transport equipment by 8.8%, machinery and equipment by 6.4% and computer, electronic and optical by 6.2% over the year. The computing sector also saw the biggest growth over the month with an increase of 8.1% while pharmaceuticals fell by 6%.

Trade Deficit Narrowed To £1.6bn In October

The seasonally adjusted trade in goods and services deficit was £1.6bn in October down from £4.3bn in September according to the ONS. It is the smallest deficit since April.

The deficit on trade in goods amounted to £7.6bn and the surplus on trade in services amounted £6bn. Exports rose to a record £26.5bn and imports fell from the record £34.6bn in September to £34.1bn in October. Both import and export prices fell in October by 0.6% and 0.4% respectively.

There was a £2.1bn increase in exports of goods to both EU (£13.9bn) and non-EU (£12.6bn) countries.

The biggest changes in key commodity value between September and October were in exports of chemicals (+£596m) and capital goods (+£327) and imports of oil (+£276m). Consumer goods other than cars had the biggest downward change (-£246).

Big Increase In The Price Of Inputs

Output prices in manufacturing increased by 4.8% in the year to January 2011 compared with 4.1% last month. Month on month the output price index rose by 1%. Petrol, food and chemicals were the main items responsible for the increase. Input prices increased by 13.4% over the year to January, the highest increase since 2008, compared with 12.9% last month, excluding the more volatile products the increase was 9.9%. Month on month the total input price index increased by 1.7%.

Pricen Rises For Producers In October

Output prices for home sales of manufactured goods rose 4% in the year to October and 0.6% over the month. Input prices for materials and fuels for manufacturing rose by 8% in the year to October and 2.1% over the month.

On the output side, petroleum products increased by 10.6% and chemicals and pharmaceuticals by 6% over the year while clothing, textiles and leather increased by only 1.4%. Within the inputs imported metals increased by 20.5% and crude oil increased by 16.2%. Fuel fell by 4.8% over the year to October.

Agricultural Inputs Prices Rise Again

The index of prices received by producers for all agricultural products returned to its May level of 137.5 from the June level of 137.9 in July 2010. Crop products increased from 138.6 to 139.4 but animals and animal products fell from 137.9 to 137.5. Within crop products, the cereals index increased from 142.5 to 144.6 and industrial crops from 136.5 to 157.9. Fresh vegetables fell to 127.9 from 131.1. These prices exclude subsidies.

Prices received for cereals fell again in 2009 from 207.1 in 2008 to 150.1 and industrial crops from 232.9 to 183.4 respectively. Farm gate prices for fresh vegetables also fell in 2009 from 117.5 to 113.9. The index for the total for all products fell from 143.3 to 135.8 in 2009.

The index of prices paid by producers for agricultural inputs shows that the prices paid for seed fell from 101.5 to 99.6 in Jul 2009, fertilisers and soil improvers fell to 244.3 from 245.7. Plant protection products remained unchanged at 99.9. The animal feedingstuffs index increased from 156.1 to 159.9. The overall index for agricultural inputs increased for the fifth consecutive month from 137.2 to 139.7 in July 2010.

The annual series shows that the overall index for prices paid by producers for agricultural inputs fell from 139.6 in 2008 to 132.9 in 2009.

Factory Gate Prices Increased In August

Producer output and input price indices from the ONS increased in August. The output index for home sales of manufactured goods increased by 4.7% over the year to August. The monthly index between July and August was unchanged. The inputs index shows an increase of 8.1% over the year but a fall of 0.5% over the month to August.

The main contribution to the change in the annual output index was an increase of 11.6% in the price of petroleum products. Other significant contributions came from 'other products' (6.9%) and electrical and optical (6.5%). On the inputs side, significant contributions were made by imported metals (17.5%), crude oil (11.8%) and imported chemicals (10.7%).

Deficit In Trade In April Up £0.1bn

The UK still has a deficit on trade in goods and services. In April the deficit was £3.3bn compared with £3.2bn in March. The deficit on trade in goods was £7.3bn but services still reported a surplus of £4bn compared with £4.1bn in March. Total exports of services fell by £0.1bn to £13.4bn and imports of services fell to £9.4bn.

Comparing April with March 2010 the main contributors to the difference were an increase of £171m from the export of cars, £130m from the export of chemicals and £125m from the export of consumer goods. There were decreases of £194m in intermediate goods and £201m in the export of aircraft. Sectors that made a significant difference on the import side were ships with an increase in value of £225m and £249m from the import of oil. Offsetting these were a decrease in the import semi-manufactured goods (other than chemicals) to the value of £392m and a decrease to the value of £159m from the import of consumer goods (other than cars).

The deficit on trade in goods with the EU increased slightly in April by £0.1bn to £3.3bn . Over the three months to April the deficit was £1.2bn smaller at £9.4bn. EU exports increased by £1.3bn to £34.4bn and EU imports by £0.1bn to £43.9bn.

As export prices fell by 0.2% and import prices increased by 0.2% in April compared with March, there was a decrease in the terms of trade. If oil is excluded, export prices fell by 1% and import prices fell by 0.2%. Over the quarter, there was a decrease in the terms of trade as export prices increased by 3.3% and import prices increased by 3.6%. Expoprt prices increased by 2.5% and import prices by 2.8% if the oil price effect is excluded. The balance of trade in oil in April was a deficit of £0.4bn. Oil exports were £2.7bn and imports £3.1bn. Over the quarter the balance of trade in oil was in deficit by £0.7bn. There was an increase in value of £0.6bn in exports to £7.9bn and an increase of £0.7bn in imports to £8.6bn.

Trade Deficit

The trade deficit in March was £3.7bn compared with £2.2bn in February. On a quarterly basis the trade deficit for the first quarter (Q1) was £9.7bn compared with £8.7bn for Q4 2009. The trade surplus in services was valued at £3.8bn the trade deficit in goods was £7.5bn in March 2010 compared with £4.1bn and £6.3bn respectively in February.

In terms of changes in commodity value in March oil exports increased by £198m and exports of intermediate goods by £133m, chemicals imports decreased by £314m in value. The value of imports of intermediate goods increased by £268m and cars by £211m. All categories reported an increase in the value of imports during March. The change in the value exports of oil for the quarter was an increase of £511m. The value of consumer goods exports increased £372m. Exports of cars decreased in value by £236m and chemicals by £206m.

Geographical analyses show that within the G7 exports to the US fell by £0.5bn and imports from Germany increased in value by £0.3bn. Imports from Norway fell by £0.2bn during March compared with February. There were no significant changes in exports or imports within the G7 during the quarter but imports from Switzerland increased by £1.1bn, from Norway by £0.6bn and China by £0.5bn.

The volume of exports fell by 1.8% but imports increased by 3.5% with imports of basic materials up 6.5% and exports up 9%. Imports of cars went up 14.9% but exports fell by 5.2% in March. Over the quarter imports of basic materials increased 12.5% but exports fell 0.5%, imports of semi-manufactured goods increased by 13.2% but exports fell by 1.2%. Exports of consumer goods increased by 7.9%.

There was an increase in the terms of trade in March as exports prices rose by 2.9% and import prices rose by 2.7%. Over the quarter the terms of trade increased because export prices rose by 2.7% and import prices rose by 2.4%.

Services Surplus Narrower In February

The seasonally adjusted trade deficit narrowed significantly during February 2010. The deficit on trade in goods and services fell from £3.9bn in January to £2.1bn in February. Trade in goods was £6.2bn in February compared with £8.1bn in January but the surplus on trade in services was £4.1bn in February from £4.2bn in January.

Exports increased by 6.3% but imports fell 1.4%. The prices of exports went up 0.5% and imports went up 0.3% compared with January. Total exports in goods increased 9.5% or £1.8bn to £21.3bn. Total imports of goods fell to £27.5bn. The single biggest contributor to the change in exports was chemicals with an increase of £629m. Oil was the second biggest with exports increasing by £370m and imports increasing by £205m.

An analysis of trade with EU countries shows that the deficit on trade in goods with EU countries narrowed by £0.6bn to £2.8bn in February 2010 compared with a deficit of £3.4bn in January. EU exports increased to £11.5bn and imports to £14.4bn.

The biggest export commodity traded with the EU was oil which increased in value by £751m over the quarter to February. There were large increases in value in imports of cars (£274m), fuels other than oil (£438m), capital goods (£108m) and intermediate goods (£176m). Imports of chemicals fell £279m over the quarter.

More geographical analysis shows that within the G7 group of countries export trade with the US increased by £0.5bn and with Germany by £0.2bn between January and February 2010. Import trade increased with Norway by £0.3bn but decreased with South Africa by £0.2bn.

The change in the volume of exports excluding oil and erratics increased by 6.3% but the volume of imports fell by 1.4% between January and February 2010. At the commodity level the biggest changes were in basic materials where exports increased by 42.7% and chemicals which increased by 15.2%. Over the quarter the biggest changes were in the export of cars which increased by 10.9% and the import of semi-manufactured goods (other than chemicals) which increased by 10%.

Export prices rose by 0.5% in February and import prices by 0.3%. The terms of trade therefore increased. If the oil price effect is left out export prices rose by 0.7% and import prices by 0.5%. Over the quarter export prices rose by 1.6% and import prices by 1.2%. Again that means an increase in the terms of trade.

The surplus on trade in services narrowed to £4.1bn compared with £4.2bn in January. Exports fell by 1.4% to £13.1bn and imports by 7.7% to £8.9bn.

Production Down In February

The index of production fell by 0.1% in February 2010. The index of manufacturing increased by 1.4%, the mining and quarrying index fell by 7.6% and the energy supply industries index 2.6% according to the latest statistics from the ONS.

The production index increased in 8 of the 13 manufacturing sub-sectors and fell in 5 sub-sectors. The transport equipment sub-sector increased the most with an increase of 16.9% over the year within which the manufacture of motor vehicles increased 51.6% and the manufacture of aircraft and spacecraft went up 12%. Food, drink and tobacco increased by 2.8% within which meat and meat products increased by 16.3% and the processing and preservation of fish, fruit and vegetables by 16.5%. The largest contributor to the year on year increase in the manufacturing index of 1.4% was transport equipment with 1.8%. The food, drink and tobacco industries increased by 0.4%.

The mining and quarrying index fell by 7.6% in February 2010 compared with February 2009. Oil and gas extraction decreased by 8.9% and coal by 16.9%. Over the year there was an 8.1% decrease in oil and gas extraction that contributed to the 7.6% year on year decrease.

Electricity supply output decreased by 7.5% contributing to the overall 2.6% fall in output in electricity, gas and water supply. Consumer durables and capital goods reported increases of 0.6% and 6.2% respectively in February.

Inflation At The Factory Gate Up 4.1%

The output price index for home sales of manufactured products rose by 4.1% over the year to February as compared to January when it rose by 3.8% and 0.3% between January and February to 116.8. The incrrase was mainly due to price rises in chemical products, tobacco and alcohol products and other manufcatured goods. If excise duties are excluded the increases were 3.7% over the year and 0.3% over the month. If the more volatile sectors such as food, beverages, tobacco and petroleum are excluded the increase was 2.9% over the year and 0.3% over the month.

The input price index for materials and fuels bought by the manufacturing industry increased by 6.9% over the year to February and 0.1% over the month to February. The increases are mainly the result of price rises in imported parts and equipment, chemicals and other imported materials. These were offset by falls in the price of fuel and crude oil. Import prices as a whole increased by 0.3% between January and February. If food, beverages, tobacco and petroleum prices are excluded the increases were 1.9% over the year and 0.5% over the month.

Looking at output prices in more detail the price of petroleum products increased by 20% over the year, the next largest increase was electrical and optical which rose by 5.1%. The changes over the month were minor in comparison. Chemical products increased by 0.6%, the biggest increase followed by tobacco and alcohol at 0.5%. Petroleum products fell by -0.2% over the month. Office machinery and equipment increased by 13.4% over the year and 1.6% over the month. Recovered secondary raw materials rose by 24.7% over the year and 0.4% over the month. The prices for fabricated metal products fell by 0.5% over the year and 0.1% over the month.

The biggest contributions to the increase in input prices over the year were crude oil with an increase of 54.5% and imported metals at 8.6%. Over the month from January to February the main contributors were imported chemicals and imported metals at 0.9%, the highest since the 9.4% of September 2008, and home food materials at 0.7% offset by falls in the prices of fuel at -2.6% and crude oil at -0.7%. Office machinery and computer parts increased by 23.9% over the year and 2.8% over the month, imported non-ferrous metals increased by 21.7% over the year but fell -0.4% over the month. There were big falls in the prices of electricity and gas at -10.1% and -33.1% respectively and -18.5% overall.

Biggest Fall Ever In Natural Resource Use

The UK economy used 613m tonnes of natural resources between 2007 and 2008 according to ONS environmental accounts published last week. Domestic material consumption fell by a record 67m tonnes during the period. Resource use had remained more or less unchanged for 10 years. The fall reflects decreases in the domestic extraction industry mainly regarding primary aggregates like crushed stone, sand and gravel.

Direct material input (DMI) which is the sum of domestic and imported primary resources totalled 781m tonnes of which domestic production accounted for 502m tonnes, down 9.9%, and imports 278m tonnes, down 5.1%. Total material requirement (TMR) fell between 2007 and 2008 by 6.3% to 1,974m tonnes.

Environmental taxes, which can be divided into energy, transport, pollution and resources, amounted to £38.5bn in 2008, an increase of £0.6bn on 2007 and 2.7% of GDP in 2008. Households are paying over half the environmental taxes at 55.1% which amounted to £20.9bn, followed by transport and communication at 15.8% or £5.98bn, the wholesale and retail trade at 6.8% or £2.6bn and manufacturing at 4.9% or £1.9bn. The construction industry is growing in its contributions to environmental taxes.

Industries spent a total of 4.6bn on environmental protection in 2007. The chemicals industry spent £655m, the food industry 457m and the energy production and water industries spent 1.8bn on environmental protection in 2007 mainly on waste management, other abatement activities and air and climate protection.

UK Trade Deficit Cut By £0.2bn.

The seasonally adjusted trade deficit in goods and services was cut by £0.2bn from £3.1bn in October to £2.9bn in November. The deficit on trade in goods was £6.8bn compared with £7bn and the surplus on services was unchanged at £3.9bn. The volume of exports excluding oil and erratics was 0.2% up but the volume of imports was down 0.9% in November. Export prices fell 0.4% and import prices fell by 0.6% on October.

In terms of value, total exports were unchanged at £20.2bn though total imports fell by £0.2bn to £27bn. Exports of cars fell by £26m while imports of cars increased by £96m, but exports of consumer goods other than cars increased by £131m and imports of consumer goods other than cars fell by £227m. Exports of chemicals increased by £96m and imports fell by £138m on November compared with October 2009.

In the three months ended November 2009 the trade deficit in goods increased by £1.6bn to £20.7bn compared with a deficit of £19.2bn in the previous three months to August. Total exports rose to £59.8bn from £55.7bn and total imports rose to £80.6bn. Exports of chemicals increased by £713m and imports by £1,485m. Intermediate goods exports increased by £612m and imports by £974m. Exports of cars increased by £609m and imports by £1,086m.

In terms of volume, in November 2009 compared with October 2009, exports increased by 0.2% and imports decreased by 0.9% compared with October. Food, drink and tobacco exports increased by 2.7% and imports fell by 0.9%, basic materials exports fell by 8.8% and imports by 6%. Semi-manufactured goods increased by 0.9% and imports fell by 1.9% of which chemicals exports went up by 3.3% and imports fell by 4.1%. There was no change in the volume of finished manufactured goods overall but within the classification the volume of exports of consumer goods went up by 9.6% and imports fell by 4.5%, intermediate goods went up by 1.1% and imports by 2.4%.

In the three months ending in November, the volume of exports of goods rose by 5.5% and the volume of imports rose by 6.9% compared with the previous three months to August. The volume of exports of basic materials increased by 10% and imports by 9.2%. Finished manufactured goods volumes totalled a 5.8% increase in exports and 7.1% increase in imports of which exports of cars increased by 16.2% and imports by 25.5%, intermediate goods export volumes increased by 5.7% and imports by 7.6% and capital goods export volumes increased by 6.6% and imports by 5.1%.

Export prices fell by 0.4% and import prices by 0.6% in November compared with October leading to an increase in the terms of trade. Export prices, excluding the oil price effect, fell by 0.8% and import prices by 1%. In the three months to November export prices rose by 2.7% and import prices by 2.3% on the previous quarter likewise leading to an increase in the terms of trade. Export prices, excluding the oil price effect, rose by 2.2% and import prices by 1.8%.

Trade in services remained unchanged in November with a surplus of £3.9bn. Exports rose by £0.2bn and imports by £0.2bn. Total exports were unchanged at £38.8bn although imports rose slightly by £0.1bn to £27.2bn.

Trade In Goods Is Down, Services Unchanged

The UK trade deficit in the value of goods and services grew from £3.1bn in September to £3.2bn in October. The difference was in value of the trade in goods where the deficit increased from £6.9bn in September to £7.1bn in October. The trade surplus in services was unchanged over the month at £3.9bn. Export and import prices both rose by 1.6%.

The volume of exports was up 3.8% and imports by 4.3% inOctober compared with September. There were big increases in the export by value of oil, cars, intermediate goods and semi-manufactured goods other than chemicals between October and September. Imports of chemicals, consumer goods and capital goods also increased significantly in terms of commodity value during the month. The value of exports of chemicals, cars, semi-manufactured goods and intermediate goods has also significantly increased as has the imports of cars, chemicals, intermediate goods and consumer goods over the year.

Trade in goods with EU countries showed a deficit of £3.6bn, up £0.4bn as exports rose by £0.4bn to £11.3bn and imports rose £0.8bn to £14.9bn. The deficit in trade with non-EU countries narrowed to £3.5bn from £3.8bn in September. Within the G7 countries, imports from the US went up £0.4bn and imports from Norway fell £0.2bn. There were no export movements over £0.2bn.

As the prices for both imports and exports were unchanged in October, the terms of trade remained the same as September. Over the quarter import prices increased by 1.6% and export prices by 2% giving an increase in the terms of trade. The balance on trade in oil was in deficit by £0.1bn from £0.5bn in September.

The surplus on trade in services as unchanged in October from September at £3.9bn. Exports rose to £12.9bn and imports rose to £9bn. Over the quarter the surplus widenend to £12bn from £11.4bn.

Falls In Manufacturing Output In October

Another survey from the ONS reports that manufacturing output has fallen in the three months to October by 0.5%. Between September and October manufacturing output did not significantly change.

There were falls in 12 of the 13 manufacturing sub-sectors including food, drink and tobacco, fuels, chemicals and metals, wood and wood products, pulp, paper, printing and publishing. There were significant rises in textiles, leather and clothing, transport equipment, electrical and optical and 'other' manufacturing. Manufacturing output is now 9.9% lower than the same quarter last year.

The index of production fell by 8.4% in October compared with October 2008. The index of manufacturing fell by 7.8% over the same period. The largest falls in manufacturing were in machinery and equipment at 17.8% and the base metals and metal products sector at 15.7%.

Production Index Down This Quarter

Production was down to 1.8% to 87.0 compared with the previous three months and down 12.3% on the year. Manufacturing output decreased by 1.2% , mining and quarrying by 2.7% and electricity, gas and water supply industries by 5.5% on the previous quarter according to the Office for National Statistics. The most significant falls in manufacturing were in basic metals and metal products, machinery and equipment and transport equipment industries. There were rises in food and drink and chemicals. Consumer durables and consumer non-durables were up, durables by 1.2% and non-durables by 1.7% on the last three months, both still down on a year ago. Over the last month durables increased output by 6.6% non-durables decreased by 0.9%. Both capital goods and intermediate goods and energy fell on the month, the quarter and the year. The production index has continued on a downward trend, with some fluctuations, since March 2008 when figures were new or started to be revised by the ONS.