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Annual CPI Inflation At 1.6%

CPI inflation increased by 1.6% in the year to March 2014. It was 1.7% in February. Between February and March 2014 the CPI rose by 0.2% compared with 0.3% between the same two months of last year. Downward pressure mainly came from transport, especially motor fuels but also from clothing and furniture and household goods.

Transport prices didn't change much between February and March 2014 compared with the 0.6% increase a year earlier. Petrol prices were unchanged compared with a 2.2% rise last year. Diesel fell by 0.4p/litre compared with a rise of 1.9p/litre last year. Air transport fares grew by less than they did a year ago.

As usual, prices for clothing and footwear increased between February and March but by less than last year. Downward pressure mainly came from women's outer garments. Furniture and household goods prices went up by 0.3% over the month compared to a rise of 0.8% last year.

The main upward contribution came from restaurants and hotels where prices increased by 0.5% compared with 0.2% last year mainly from price increases for overnight stays in hotels. Prices for alcohol, particularly spirits, and tobacco rose this year but fell last year.

CPIH which includes owner occupier housing costs (OOH) grew by 1.5% in the year to March 2014. RPIJ grew by 1.8% from 2% in February. RPI annual inflation was 2.5%.

Inflatiom Below 2% At 1.9%

Growth in CPI inflation fell to 1.9% in the year to January 2014 from 2% in December 2013 according to a statistical bulletin from the ONS.

Decreases in prices for recreational goods and services, furniture and household goods and alcoholic drinks and tobacco were the main contributors to the fall. These price movements were offset by an upward movement in prices for miscellaneous goods and services.

The change in the inflation figures means that a basket of goods and services that cost £100.00 in January 2013 would cost £101.90 in January 2014.

CPIH grew by 1.8% in the year to January 2014 down from growth of 1.9% in December 2013. CPIH is an inflation measure that includes owner occupier housing costs (OOH) but not things like utility bills, minor repairs and maintenance.

CPI Down To 2.5% In August

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell to 2.5% in August 2012 from 2.6% in July according to a statistical bulletin from the Office for National Statistics (ONS). The main pressure pushing the index down came from furniture, household equipment & maintenance, housing & household services (particularly domestic gas) and clothing & footwear. The downward pressure from these sectors was partially offset by upward pressure from transport (particularly motor fuels).

Inflation Down To 3%

CPI annual inflation fell 0.5% to 3% in April 2012. Easter had a significant effect on the data. The rate was last lower in December 2009 when it was 2.9%. The index stands at 122.9. The main causes of the decrease in the index were falls in prices in air transport, off-sales of alcohol, clothing and sea transport. Upward pressure came from the operation of personal transport equipment, restaurants and hotels, and rents. The RPI stands at 3.5% down from 3.6% in March. The CPI rose 0.6% between March and April 2012. Transport prices rose by 1.2% the largest contrubutor to which came from fuel costs which increased 2%. Petrol prices went up 3.2% to £1.42/l. Diesel prices rose 2.1% to £1.48/l. The increase in excise duties helped prices of alcohol and tobacco to go up by 2.9%, where tobacco prices increased by 5.1%. Prices of furniture, household equipment and maintenance fell by 1.2%, mainly due to downward prices in furniture and furnishings.

Inflation Stands At 3.4%

CPI inflation stands at 121.8 or a percentage change of 3.4% in February 2012 according to a statistical bulletin from the ONS. RPI inflation stands at 3.7%. The annual rate is the lowest since November 2010.

The biggest downward pressure on the CPI came from domestic electricity and gas, recreation and culture and transport. The biggest upward pressure came from alcohol off sales and vegetables.

On the monthly comparison the CPI rose by 0.6% between January and February 2012 compared with 0.7 a year ago. The biggest upward pressure on the monthly comparisdon came from clothing and footwear, food and non-alcoholic beverages, transport and furniture. The biggest downward pressure came from housing and household services.

Inflation Down to 4.8% In November

Inflation fell to 4.8% in November from the 5% figure of October. The index number is 121.2 (2005=100). RPI stands at 5.2%. Food, petrol, clothing and furniture household and equipment and maintenance provided the largest downward pressure. Domestic heating and off sales of alcohol provided upward pressure to the CPI. While upward pressure came from the same sectors as the CPI, downward pressure on the RPI came from wines and spirits off sales and fuel and light.

Consumer Inflation At 3.2%

Annual inflation increased from 3.1% in September to 3.2% last month according to figures released by ONS. The main upward pressure for the change came from petrol and diesel, financial services and games, toys and hobbies (mainly computer games bought in shops rather than online) and the main downward pressure came from food prices. Vegetable prices fell 1% and meat prices were unchanged but went up last year. The index stands at 115.2.

There was an increase of 0.3% over the month. The most significant contributions came from recreation and culture (games, toys and hobbies 1.9% and cultural services 1.7%) and transport (fuels and lubricants 1.8%). Downward pressure over the month came from furniture, household equipment and maintenance (furniture and furnishings -3.4%) and clothing and footwear (-0.7% largely from garments).

Inflation Unchanged From August

Headline inflation remained at 3.1% in September as it was in August though there were significant changes within the index that put pressure on it between August and September.

Falling air fares and second-hand car prices put most downward pressure on inflation with the main upward pressures counteracting it being record price increases for August in clothing and footwear and food and non-alcoholic beverages where prices also rose slightly. Furniture, household equipment and maintenace also increased by 1.7%.

Inflation Falls To 3.1%

CPI annual inflation fell last month to 3.1% from 3.2% in June. Second-hand cars and fuel were the main downward factors between June and July but as in June there were downward contributions from clothing and footwear and additionally from recreation and culture. Upward pressure came from food and non-alcoholic beverages and furniture and household goods. The index stood at 114.3 down from 114.6 in May (2005=100).

Inflation Up 3.7%

The CPI for May rose by less than in April but it is still far higher than the Government target of 2%. It rose by 3.7% in April. The index was 114.4. The RPI at 223.6 rose by 5.1% down from 3.7% last month. The RPIX (RPI excluding mortgage interest payments) rose to 222.8 or by 5.1%, down from 5.4% the previous month.

The main contributory sectors to the change in the CPI were food and non-alcoholic beverages chiefly meat and in particular pork and fruit particularly grapes. Vegetables also had a small downward effect. Transport also had a downward effect as did the purchase of new cars and road passenger transport. Alcoholic beverages and tobacco, recreation and culture both had large downward effects. Books had a small upward effect. Housing and household services provided the only large upward contribution.

The RPI experienced a large downward contribution from food, fruit particularly grapes and mayonnaise and meat. Motoring expenditure and the purchase of motor vehicles made downward effects. The price of alcohol rose but by less than a year ago. Small downward contributions came from leisure services in particular foreign holidays, tobacco prices rising by less than a year ago and from household services again prices rising by less than a year ago. A small upward contribution was made by household goods where there were price rises. Furniture, in particular, kitchen base units provided the upward effect partially offset by a downward effect from furnishings.

Sales Growth On The High Street Expected To Continue

Retailers have seen growth for the second month running according to the CBI Distributive Trades Survey for March. The trend is expected to continue through Easter. Sales volumes were reported to be higher than the same time last year as expected. The volume of orders also grew for the second month in a row. Stock levels are more than adequate to meet demand. Very strong sales were reported by grocers, durable household goods, clothing, furniture and carpet retailers. Hardware, china and DIY reported falling sales for the second month. The wholesale sector also saw a fall in sales against expectations. There was strong sales growth in the food and drink sector but agricultural machinery sales and builders merchants had a difficult month. Motor traders also had another bad month due to a drop in vehicle sales while parts and accessories sales grew for a second month.

High Street Building Up To Christmas

The CBI report retailers are enjoying an early build up to Christmas with the third successive month of growth in sales. The Distributive Trades survey suggests sales have grown over last year and could grow still more before the end of the month. Sales for the time of year are below seasonal norms and described as poor by some retailers.

Stock levels remain almost unchanged from November but the volume of orders rose again but at a slower rate than expected. Orders are expected to flatten in the New Year, as are sales.

The highest rates of growth were in the grocery, durable household goods, footwear and leather and furniture and carpets. Booksellers and stationers saw a reversal of their recent growth and there was a fall in sales at the chemists.

Industrial materials reported an change for the better as fourteen months of falling sales ended with a flat month. Clothing, textiles and footwear wholesalers saw their best sales growth since 2004.

There was a second month of growth for motor traders who expect that to contiue into the New Year due to the scrappage scheme. Sales for the month were said to be above average.

Great October Retail Sales

The value of UK retail sales for October on a like-for-like basis rose 3.8% over the year from October 2008 and 5.9% on a total basis across all categories. Food sales slowed again, clothing and footwear growth increased and homewares and furniture also gained helped by consumer confidence and the housing market. These gains should be set against the larger declines of last year. Internet, mail order and phone sales increased by 18% in October compared with 11.9% in September in line with store sales.

Slight Growth In High Street Sales

There was a slight improvement in high street sales in the year to October according to the latest CBI distributive trades’ survey results. Businesses also expect volumes to improve further in November.

The improved results in volumes were greater than expected and the best figures since December 2007. A small percentage of retailers reported poor sales for the time of year, which was an improvement on last month, and they expect sales to remain below seasonal norms in November.

Stocks are more than adequate to meet demand but more orders are expected in November than were placed in October.

The sectors that have performed particularly well include durable household goods, furniture and carpets, booksellers and stationers. Clothing, footwear and leather retailers and grocers also reported sales growth. Sales fell for chemists and the hardware, china and DIY retailers.

The wholesale sector's sales volumes were flat for the second month running but better than the expected fall. Food and drink wholesalers reported strong sales growth, but industrial materials and builders merchants had a difficult month. The motor trades saw trade volumes fall and many expect sales to fall again in November. Vehicle sales, rather than parts and accessories were the main factor in the poor sales report.

Food Inflation Decreases Food Sales

The value of retail sales increased by 2.8% like-for-like from September 2008 partly due to the Bank Holidays falling in the September period this year according to the British Retail Consortium (BRC) Retail Sales Monitor for September. There was a further slow down in food sales due to food inflation. Other sectors that increased were clothing and footwear and homewares and furniture sales due to an increase in consumer confidence and the housing market. Internet sales of non-food goods helped achieve a figure of 11% higher than a year ago in September and 7.9% compared with August.

The BRC Shop Price Index stayed deflationary for the second consecutive month. Shop prices fell 0.1% in September year-on-year. Food inflation increased to 2.5% from 2.3% in August. On the monthly basis the index remained flat.

Retail Beginning To Stabilise

The latest CBI distributive trades’ monthly survey, for September, suggests that retail conditions are beginning to stabilise. Sales are basically unchanged on the year to September and expected to remain so in October. A slight majority of retailer respondents to the survey reported sales volumes had risen over the year.

The results are better than expected following months of falling sales. Volumes of orders fell slightly but the three month moving average fall is slowing down. Retailers are keeping stocks low but are more than adequate to meet demand.

The sectors contributing to the overall figures include grocers, footwear and leather goods reporting good year-on-year results. All other sectors are falling, but the pace is slowing for clothing and furniture and carpets. Wholesale is ‘flat’ but are expected to fall next month. Food and drink, clothing, footwear and textiles reported the strongest growth. The hardest hit were industrial materials, builders’ merchants and electrical installation materials. Motor traders sale volumes were more or less unchanged in due partly to the scrappage scheme. They had been expected to grow in the year to September and are expected to fall next month.

Retail Recovery Falling Backwards

Retail sales rose on a total basis in August by 2.2% compared with 1.4% this time last year. Food sales continue to do well increasing slightly from the lows of July. Clothing and footwear weakened slightly. Homewares and furniture fell back to below last year's levels. Internet sales were 7.9% higher than last year.

Inflation Down To Below 2% In June

The Consumer Price Index was down to 1.8% in the month of June from 2.2% in May. The RPI fell by 1.6% over the year. Food and beverages were again the main downward contribution as with 'factory gate' prices. Furniture and household equipment were also a factor. Recreation and culture contributed a large upward pressure. As an internationally comparative measure the CPI shows that UK inflation in May was 2.2%. The provisional figure for the EU as a whole was 0.7%. The statistics are from the ONS.

Not Much Change In Retail Trades

Retailers reported yet another fall in retail sales volumes for the first two weeks of June compared with last year in the latest CBI Distributive Trades Survey results. The decline was more or less what was expected, more than last month but not as much as the previous month and nothing like the falls that have been witnessed during the last year. Retailers also reported that they expect sales to fall for another month in July. Stocks are more than adequate to meet demand so retailers have been slowly cutting back on orders with their suppliers. Sectors to see some growth include grocers and furniture and carpets. Durables, hardware, china, DIY and clothing showed sharp declines. The fall in the wholesale sector was sharper than the previous two months. If the fall extends into July it will be the thirteenth month in a row of falling sales. The hardest hit were the industrial and builders merchants wholesalers. Agricultural machinery and food and drink wholesalers saw no change on the year. The scrappage scheme may have had something to do with the motor sectors best sales figures for over a year.